Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.022244 0.024119 0.026077 0.028276 0.030678 0.033223 0.036127
2025-08-10 0.019194 0.021905 0.024897 0.028449 0.032559 0.037173 0.042757
2025-08-17 0.016907 0.020032 0.023623 0.028065 0.033429 0.039719 0.047682
2025-08-24 0.015168 0.018521 0.022500 0.027589 0.033953 0.041685 0.051843
2025-08-31 0.013900 0.017414 0.021701 0.027346 0.034621 0.043737 0.056110
2025-09-07 0.012868 0.016491 0.021022 0.027140 0.035242 0.045679 0.060264
2025-09-14 0.012022 0.015726 0.020462 0.027007 0.035891 0.047629 0.064480
2025-09-21 0.011216 0.014947 0.019815 0.026687 0.036227 0.049129 0.068118
2025-09-28 0.010655 0.014450 0.019499 0.026771 0.037084 0.051347 0.072845
2025-10-05 0.010077 0.013889 0.019051 0.026627 0.037588 0.053066 0.076922
2025-10-12 0.009640 0.013495 0.018803 0.026735 0.038433 0.055289 0.081837
2025-10-19 0.009223 0.013102 0.018529 0.026776 0.039165 0.057361 0.086621
2025-10-26 0.008721 0.012577 0.018062 0.026544 0.039532 0.058991 0.090966
2025-11-02 0.008388 0.012282 0.017917 0.026787 0.040635 0.061810 0.097390
2025-11-09 0.007923 0.011764 0.017407 0.026439 0.040792 0.063159 0.101524
2025-11-16 0.007471 0.011241 0.016860 0.025995 0.040758 0.064183 0.105161
2025-11-23 0.007110 0.010836 0.016469 0.025767 0.041047 0.065723 0.109741
2025-11-30 0.006785 0.010469 0.016116 0.025574 0.041371 0.067323 0.114503
2025-12-07 0.006499 0.010149 0.015818 0.025450 0.041792 0.069094 0.119661
2025-12-14 0.006195 0.009784 0.015428 0.025150 0.041890 0.070311 0.123890
2025-12-21 0.005990 0.009570 0.015272 0.025228 0.042636 0.072674 0.130341
2025-12-28 0.005756 0.009295 0.015000 0.025093 0.042995 0.074369 0.135651
2026-01-04 0.005582 0.009112 0.014871 0.025194 0.043771 0.076842 0.142579